The following is a summary and article by AI based on a transcript of the video "Why US elections only give you two choices". Due to the limitations of AI, please be careful to distinguish the correctness of the content.
00:00 | The person who gets the most votes wins. |
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00:05 | Let's talk about this. |
00:07 | In the US, |
00:08 | we basically have two choices in elections. |
00:13 | And... listen. |
00:15 | It's not going amazing. |
00:16 | “Government shutdown” |
00:16 | “Split Congress” |
00:18 | “Great divide” |
00:19 | “Cannot agree” |
00:20 | “Too polarized” |
00:21 | “Big majorities don't want either one of them running.” |
00:24 | Big majorities of us actually don't want the two-party system at all. |
00:27 | We want more options. |
00:30 | But a lot of the time, |
00:32 | we actually do have more options. |
00:36 | It's just that, when it comes time to vote for them, |
00:39 | we mostly don't. |
00:41 | We kind of can't. |
00:43 | In our system, voting for a third party |
00:46 | helps the party you least agree with. |
00:48 | It's just a protest vote. |
00:51 | But there's a way |
00:52 | we could make it more than that. |
00:55 | We just need to take a closer look at this. |
01:05 | New England. |
01:06 | The northeastern region of the US. |
01:08 | About 15 million people live here. |
01:10 | These six states send 21 Representatives to Congress. |
01:15 | And in the 2022 Congressional elections, |
01:18 | 36% of voters here voted for Republicans. |
01:23 | But none of this region's 21 Representatives are Republicans. |
01:27 | It means that the perspective of the New England Republicans, |
01:30 | who have historically been fiscally conservative |
01:32 | and more socially progressive, is not reflected in Congress. |
01:36 | This is because of the way we elect Representatives to Congress, |
01:40 | where every Representative comes from a different district, |
01:43 | each district holds its own election, |
01:46 | and in each election, |
01:47 | the person who gets the most votes wins. |
01:50 | These are “winner take all” elections. |
01:52 | And they produce this result all over the country. |
01:55 | Take the state of Oklahoma. |
01:57 | Oklahoma has five Congressional districts. |
01:59 | It votes one third Democratic. |
02:02 | It has no Democratic Representatives. |
02:06 | And before we start blaming gerrymandering for this, |
02:08 | in other words, the shape of these districts, |
02:10 | in Massachusetts, which I admit does look kind of gerrymandered, |
02:15 | a group of independent mapmakers looked at this situation. |
02:19 | And they tried to draw new district maps |
02:21 | that would give Republicans some representation here. |
02:25 | But they found that, “though there are more ways of building |
02:28 | a districting plan than particles in the galaxy, |
02:31 | every single one would produce a 9-0 Democratic delegation.” |
02:35 | And now imagine if, |
02:37 | in every single House race, there was also a really popular |
02:40 | third party, getting 25% of the vote, |
02:44 | in every district in the country. |
02:46 | That party would earn... |
02:48 | zero seats in Congress. |
02:51 | If you ask yourself, why haven't you voted for a third party, |
02:54 | most of the time it’s, well, they don't really have a chance. |
02:56 | Our system, by its very nature, precludes political competition. |
03:00 | But most democracies |
03:02 | don't actually work this way. |
03:06 | In 2021, |
03:07 | a German center-right party called the Free Democratic Party |
03:10 | won about 90 seats in Germany's parliament. |
03:14 | German federal elections have about 300 constituencies |
03:17 | that work sort of like America's districts, |
03:19 | with each one electing a single representative. |
03:22 | And out of every one of those races, |
03:25 | the Free Democratic Party |
03:27 | did not win a single one. |
03:30 | But Germany uses a form of what is called |
03:33 | “proportional representation.” |
03:35 | Proportional representation means that a share of votes |
03:38 | gets you a share of seats. |
03:41 | These are four common types of proportional representation, |
03:44 | and one way to understand each of them is, |
03:46 | are you voting for a person, or are you voting for a party? |
03:50 | So at one end of that spectrum, |
03:51 | in a “closed list” system, like they use in Spain, for example, |
03:55 | you might not even vote for a candidate. |
03:57 | You’d just vote for a party. |
03:59 | Each party wins some percentage of the vote, |
04:01 | and those percentages each translate into a certain number of seats. |
04:06 | The people who fill those seats come off of each party's “list.” |
04:09 | So voters don't get to choose those candidates. |
04:11 | That's the “closed” part. |
04:14 | But there are also “open list” systems |
04:17 | which are maybe the most common, used in places like Finland, |
04:20 | Belgium, Denmark. |
04:21 | A standard version of this is, you vote for a person, |
04:25 | and your vote counts towards a larger party total |
04:28 | sort of like we saw before, |
04:29 | determining how many seats each party gets. |
04:31 | But in open list, you do choose the candidates. |
04:34 | The seats go to the people in each party who got the most votes. |
04:40 | Germany uses a system called “mixed-member proportional.” |
04:44 | Mixed, because in their system you cast two votes: |
04:46 | for a person, and for a party. |
04:49 | Each district elects one person, |
04:52 | and those people fill some of the seats in Parliament. |
04:55 | But the rest of the seats are filled by looking at the party vote, |
04:59 | and then doling the remaining seats out to the parties, |
05:02 | until the end product is proportional to the party vote. |
05:06 | And the last one we'll look at |
05:07 | is the one that Ireland uses to elect its legislature. |
05:10 | And this is actually a version of something |
05:13 | we're already starting to do |
05:14 | in some congressional and local races in the US. |
05:17 | “Ranked choice” |
05:18 | “ranked choice” |
05:19 | “ranked choice voting.” |
05:20 | In ranked choice voting, instead of just voting for one person, |
05:22 | you rank multiple candidates. |
05:24 | It's a system that encourages you to vote for smaller parties |
05:27 | and less established candidates, |
05:29 | because if your first choice is unpopular, |
05:31 | they use your second choice vote. |
05:33 | And that process repeats itself, until a certain threshold is reached. |
05:38 | On its own, though, |
05:39 | ranked choice voting doesn't necessarily |
05:41 | make these smaller candidates that much more likely to actually win. |
05:45 | They will be at a disadvantage in any election that only one person can win. |
05:51 | But: if you lower the threshold of victory in a ranked choice race, |
05:55 | that produces multiple winners, |
05:57 | more proportional to the vote. |
06:02 | All of these systems have different formulas |
06:04 | for turning votes into representation. |
06:06 | What they have in common is, they all distribute power proportionally, |
06:11 | instead of just relying on this. |
06:16 | Now, you'll notice we’ve spent the last few minutes |
06:17 | talking about Congress, and parliaments: legislatures. |
06:21 | Presidential elections |
06:23 | can definitely be made more fair, that is another video. |
06:26 | But they will always, by definition, be single-winner elections, |
06:30 | most likely to be won by the more established parties. |
06:34 | But if Congress is more representative and less polarized, |
06:38 | it could change the whole partisan dynamic around the presidency. |
06:42 | Right now, if the president wants to pass a law, |
06:45 | he or she, with rare exceptions, needs |
06:48 | both Democrats and Republican Party support. |
06:51 | But if there were three, or four, or five parties in Congress, |
06:54 | that would open up far more coalitional possibilities |
06:57 | and combinations to pass laws. |
06:59 | The key to making this happen will be taking these |
07:02 | single-winner elections that we use to elect Congress, |
07:05 | and replacing them with multi-winner elections that pick, say, |
07:09 | 3 to 5 people to represent a district. |
07:12 | For example, Oklahoma, now five congressional districts, |
07:14 | could act as a single district, |
07:16 | holding an election that five people can win. |
07:18 | It would still mostly be represented by Republicans, |
07:20 | just not exclusively. |
07:23 | Another option is that we could keep many of our current districts, |
07:26 | and just make Congress bigger: |
07:28 | so, use each district to elect more Representatives. |
07:33 | But okay. |
07:34 | How do we actually do any of this? |
07:38 | Federal law currently says that no Congressional district |
07:40 | can elect more than one Representative. |
07:43 | So to make Congress more representative, |
07:46 | that is what will need to change. |
07:49 | But that change needs to be made by... Congress. |
07:55 | When the country is struggling to even agree on small things, |
07:59 | it can feel really unthinkable. |
08:01 | But then there are plenty of indicators that being a member of Congress |
08:04 | is pretty miserable these days. |
08:07 | Changing the system would let members |
08:09 | focus on the reasons they ran for Congress in the first place: |
08:12 | serving their community, making sure they get things done. |
08:15 | But there are other ways to change things too. |
08:17 | The states each choose how their own state legislatures get elected. |
08:23 | Cities choose how their city councils get elected. |
08:26 | And the hurdles to changing those are much, much lower. |
08:29 | The more experiments we can try, |
08:31 | the more different forms of proportional representation |
08:33 | we can implement in the United States, |
08:34 | I think the better, ultimately, our democracy will be. |
08:38 | This rule feels really simple. |
08:41 | But that simplicity, |
08:44 | it hides a lot of problems. |
08:46 | We are one of the oldest, if not the oldest, democracy in the world, right? |
08:50 | All these different other democracies, most of the world's democracies, |
08:53 | are using a system that's better. |
08:55 | We just need to update our system. |
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