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Transcript of YouTube Video: Why US elections only give you two choices

Transcript of YouTube Video: Why US elections only give you two choices

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00:00

The person who gets the most votes wins.

00:05

Let's talk about this.

00:07

In the US,

00:08

we basically have two choices in elections.

00:13

And... listen.

00:15

It's not going amazing.

00:16

“Government shutdown”

00:16

“Split Congress”

00:18

“Great divide”

00:19

“Cannot agree”

00:20

“Too polarized”

00:21

“Big majorities don't want either one of them running.”

00:24

Big majorities of us actually don't want the two-party system at all.

00:27

We want more options.

00:30

But a lot of the time,

00:32

we actually do have more options.

00:36

It's just that, when it comes time to vote for them,

00:39

we mostly don't.

00:41

We kind of can't.

00:43

In our system, voting for a third party

00:46

helps the party you least agree with.

00:48

It's just a protest vote.

00:51

But there's a way

00:52

we could make it more than that.

00:55

We just need to take a closer look at this.

01:05

New England.

01:06

The northeastern region of the US.

01:08

About 15 million people live here.

01:10

These six states send 21 Representatives to Congress.

01:15

And in the 2022 Congressional elections,

01:18

36% of voters here voted for Republicans.

01:23

But none of this region's 21 Representatives are Republicans.

01:27

It means that the perspective of the New England Republicans,

01:30

who have historically been fiscally conservative

01:32

and more socially progressive, is not reflected in Congress.

01:36

This is because of the way we elect Representatives to Congress,

01:40

where every Representative comes from a different district,

01:43

each district holds its own election,

01:46

and in each election,

01:47

the person who gets the most votes wins.

01:50

These are “winner take all” elections.

01:52

And they produce this result all over the country.

01:55

Take the state of Oklahoma.

01:57

Oklahoma has five Congressional districts.

01:59

It votes one third Democratic.

02:02

It has no Democratic Representatives.

02:06

And before we start blaming gerrymandering for this,

02:08

in other words, the shape of these districts,

02:10

in Massachusetts, which I admit does look kind of gerrymandered,

02:15

a group of independent mapmakers looked at this situation.

02:19

And they tried to draw new district maps

02:21

that would give Republicans some representation here.

02:25

But they found that, “though there are more ways of building

02:28

a districting plan than particles in the galaxy,

02:31

every single one would produce a 9-0 Democratic delegation.”

02:35

And now imagine if,

02:37

in every single House race, there was also a really popular

02:40

third party, getting 25% of the vote,

02:44

in every district in the country.

02:46

That party would earn...

02:48

zero seats in Congress.

02:51

If you ask yourself, why haven't you voted for a third party,

02:54

most of the time it’s, well, they don't really have a chance.

02:56

Our system, by its very nature, precludes political competition.

03:00

But most democracies

03:02

don't actually work this way.

03:06

In 2021,

03:07

a German center-right party called the Free Democratic Party

03:10

won about 90 seats in Germany's parliament.

03:14

German federal elections have about 300 constituencies

03:17

that work sort of like America's districts,

03:19

with each one electing a single representative.

03:22

And out of every one of those races,

03:25

the Free Democratic Party

03:27

did not win a single one.

03:30

But Germany uses a form of what is called

03:33

“proportional representation.”

03:35

Proportional representation means that a share of votes

03:38

gets you a share of seats.

03:41

These are four common types of proportional representation,

03:44

and one way to understand each of them is,

03:46

are you voting for a person, or are you voting for a party?

03:50

So at one end of that spectrum,

03:51

in a “closed list” system, like they use in Spain, for example,

03:55

you might not even vote for a candidate.

03:57

You’d just vote for a party.

03:59

Each party wins some percentage of the vote,

04:01

and those percentages each translate into a certain number of seats.

04:06

The people who fill those seats come off of each party's “list.”

04:09

So voters don't get to choose those candidates.

04:11

That's the “closed” part.

04:14

But there are also “open list” systems

04:17

which are maybe the most common, used in places like Finland,

04:20

Belgium, Denmark.

04:21

A standard version of this is, you vote for a person,

04:25

and your vote counts towards a larger party total

04:28

sort of like we saw before,

04:29

determining how many seats each party gets.

04:31

But in open list, you do choose the candidates.

04:34

The seats go to the people in each party who got the most votes.

04:40

Germany uses a system called “mixed-member proportional.”

04:44

Mixed, because in their system you cast two votes:

04:46

for a person, and for a party.

04:49

Each district elects one person,

04:52

and those people fill some of the seats in Parliament.

04:55

But the rest of the seats are filled by looking at the party vote,

04:59

and then doling the remaining seats out to the parties,

05:02

until the end product is proportional to the party vote.

05:06

And the last one we'll look at

05:07

is the one that Ireland uses to elect its legislature.

05:10

And this is actually a version of something

05:13

we're already starting to do

05:14

in some congressional and local races in the US.

05:17

“Ranked choice”

05:18

“ranked choice”

05:19

“ranked choice voting.”

05:20

In ranked choice voting, instead of just voting for one person,

05:22

you rank multiple candidates.

05:24

It's a system that encourages you to vote for smaller parties

05:27

and less established candidates,

05:29

because if your first choice is unpopular,

05:31

they use your second choice vote.

05:33

And that process repeats itself, until a certain threshold is reached.

05:38

On its own, though,

05:39

ranked choice voting doesn't necessarily

05:41

make these smaller candidates that much more likely to actually win.

05:45

They will be at a disadvantage in any election that only one person can win.

05:51

But: if you lower the threshold of victory in a ranked choice race,

05:55

that produces multiple winners,

05:57

more proportional to the vote.

06:02

All of these systems have different formulas

06:04

for turning votes into representation.

06:06

What they have in common is, they all distribute power proportionally,

06:11

instead of just relying on this.

06:16

Now, you'll notice we’ve spent the last few minutes

06:17

talking about Congress, and parliaments: legislatures.

06:21

Presidential elections

06:23

can definitely be made more fair, that is another video.

06:26

But they will always, by definition, be single-winner elections,

06:30

most likely to be won by the more established parties.

06:34

But if Congress is more representative and less polarized,

06:38

it could change the whole partisan dynamic around the presidency.

06:42

Right now, if the president wants to pass a law,

06:45

he or she, with rare exceptions, needs

06:48

both Democrats and Republican Party support.

06:51

But if there were three, or four, or five parties in Congress,

06:54

that would open up far more coalitional possibilities

06:57

and combinations to pass laws.

06:59

The key to making this happen will be taking these

07:02

single-winner elections that we use to elect Congress,

07:05

and replacing them with multi-winner elections that pick, say,

07:09

3 to 5 people to represent a district.

07:12

For example, Oklahoma, now five congressional districts,

07:14

could act as a single district,

07:16

holding an election that five people can win.

07:18

It would still mostly be represented by Republicans,

07:20

just not exclusively.

07:23

Another option is that we could keep many of our current districts,

07:26

and just make Congress bigger:

07:28

so, use each district to elect more Representatives.

07:33

But okay.

07:34

How do we actually do any of this?

07:38

Federal law currently says that no Congressional district

07:40

can elect more than one Representative.

07:43

So to make Congress more representative,

07:46

that is what will need to change.

07:49

But that change needs to be made by... Congress.

07:55

When the country is struggling to even agree on small things,

07:59

it can feel really unthinkable.

08:01

But then there are plenty of indicators that being a member of Congress

08:04

is pretty miserable these days.

08:07

Changing the system would let members

08:09

focus on the reasons they ran for Congress in the first place:

08:12

serving their community, making sure they get things done.

08:15

But there are other ways to change things too.

08:17

The states each choose how their own state legislatures get elected.

08:23

Cities choose how their city councils get elected.

08:26

And the hurdles to changing those are much, much lower.

08:29

The more experiments we can try,

08:31

the more different forms of proportional representation

08:33

we can implement in the United States,

08:34

I think the better, ultimately, our democracy will be.

08:38

This rule feels really simple.

08:41

But that simplicity,

08:44

it hides a lot of problems.

08:46

We are one of the oldest, if not the oldest, democracy in the world, right?

08:50

All these different other democracies, most of the world's democracies,

08:53

are using a system that's better.

08:55

We just need to update our system.

09:00

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09:01

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09:40

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